Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.052399 0.056882 0.061419 0.066349 0.071547 0.076858 0.082687
2025-06-08 0.046698 0.053406 0.060434 0.068318 0.076889 0.085899 0.096058
2025-06-15 0.041955 0.050256 0.059217 0.069548 0.081068 0.093459 0.107734
2025-06-22 0.037928 0.047395 0.057893 0.070291 0.084421 0.099917 0.118089
2025-06-29 0.034265 0.044554 0.056257 0.070381 0.086795 0.105106 0.126912
2025-07-06 0.032293 0.043462 0.056440 0.072394 0.091234 0.112546 0.138241
2025-07-13 0.029258 0.040836 0.054596 0.071831 0.092519 0.116247 0.145205
2025-07-20 0.026999 0.038978 0.053511 0.072026 0.094576 0.120756 0.153045
2025-07-27 0.025414 0.037838 0.053194 0.073055 0.097554 0.126299 0.162075
2025-08-03 0.024298 0.037209 0.053439 0.074716 0.101257 0.132686 0.172114
2025-08-10 0.021548 0.034248 0.050570 0.072342 0.099892 0.132898 0.174714
2025-08-17 0.019839 0.032576 0.049261 0.071850 0.100779 0.135773 0.180472
2025-08-24 0.018227 0.030971 0.048000 0.071409 0.101755 0.138823 0.186555
2025-08-31 0.017703 0.030871 0.048731 0.073559 0.106033 0.145980 0.197722
2025-09-07 0.016927 0.030354 0.048859 0.074891 0.109259 0.151849 0.207349
2025-09-14 0.016029 0.029599 0.048613 0.075690 0.111780 0.156836 0.215907
2025-09-21 0.014973 0.028538 0.047885 0.075793 0.113361 0.160625 0.222980
2025-09-28 0.014628 0.028541 0.048644 0.077915 0.117600 0.167803 0.234331
2025-10-05 0.013493 0.027236 0.047469 0.077324 0.118212 0.170334 0.239836
2025-10-12 0.012671 0.026377 0.046896 0.077531 0.119859 0.174180 0.247003
2025-10-19 0.012150 0.025971 0.046962 0.078615 0.122672 0.179531 0.256095
2025-10-26 0.011836 0.025890 0.047500 0.080362 0.126391 0.186074 0.266742
2025-11-02 0.010469 0.023932 0.045123 0.077864 0.124260 0.184940 0.267519